Hurricane Lorena Could Become An Inland Heavy Rain Threat For Parts Of The Southwest Jennifer Gray September 4, 2025 at 9:35 PM 1 Hurricane Lorena won't make a landfall in the U.S., but parts of the Southwest could still see impacts into this weekend.
- - Hurricane Lorena Could Become An Inland Heavy Rain Threat For Parts Of The Southwest
Jennifer Gray September 4, 2025 at 9:35 PM
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Hurricane Lorena won't make a landfall in the U.S., but parts of the Southwest could still see impacts into this weekend.
Soaking rain from the storm's remnants could trigger flooding across portions of Arizona, New Mexico and Texas.
Where is Hurricane Lorena Now?
Hurricane Lorena's center is about 100 miles off the western coast of Mexico's Baja Peninsula. It became the 12th storm of the 2025 Eastern Pacific hurricane season late Tuesday morning.
Lorena strengthened to a hurricane early Wednesday morning.
Outer rainbands soaked areas around Los Cabos in the southern Baja Peninsula with 2 to 9 inches of rain, even as the core of the storm remained well offshore.
Tropical storm watches and warnings remain in effect for parts of the Baja Peninsula, but not including Los Cabos. This means tropical storm conditions are either possible (watches) or expected (warnings) in those areas.
An Uncertain Forecast
Lorena is now beginning to weaken.
If Lorena weakens fast enough, as some models indicate, it could fizzle before its center ever reaches land in the Baja Peninsula.
The cone graphic below shows the latest National Hurricane Center's forecast.
Flooding rain, high surf, some coastal flooding and wind gusts can be expected across most of the Baja Peninsula over the next day or so.
While Lorena is forecast to fizzle near the Baja Peninsula, the storm's remnants could impact parts of the U.S.
Lorena's Potential US Impacts
Forecast models are showing an uptick in moisture across southern Arizona, New Mexico and Texas the next few days into the weekend as Lorena's remnant moisture and upper-level spin arrive. This means locally heavy rainfall could lead to flash flooding in some areas.
In fact, flood watches have already been issued for parts of Arizona for this weekend, and additional watches could be issued. More than an inch of rain is possible in the higher elevations of southern and central Arizona.
This weekend, this moisture and spin could combine with a frontal boundary slowdown to wring out locally flooding rain in parts of Texas, as well.
Make sure you check back often for updates, as the forecast could change.
Rainfall OutlookDesert Southwest Could Use Rain
Much of southern Arizona and New Mexico is experiencing drought conditions. Part of this is because monsoonal rains are also behind schedule for many locations in the Desert Southwest.
The entire state of Arizona is currently in drought conditions, while 70% of New Mexico is suffering from drought.
While the uptick in tropical moisture could bring flash flooding conditions, possibly serious in some areas, the Southwest could use a boost in rain from Lorena.
Jennifer Gray is a weather and climate writer for weather.com. She has been covering some of the world's biggest weather and climate stories for the last two decades.
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